Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 14.806265 16.964425 19.343126 22.162001 25.414889 29.054985 33.443206
2025-11-09 11.676000 14.423752 17.697600 21.895550 27.150177 33.529164 41.889757
2025-11-16 9.814497 12.784381 16.523051 21.593658 28.320996 36.981177 49.041660
2025-11-23 8.439353 11.477594 15.477792 21.158384 29.065014 39.749412 55.399475
2025-11-30 7.839711 11.076222 15.510104 22.069393 31.598233 45.047316 65.663884
2025-12-07 7.184133 10.497408 15.198776 22.411071 33.295976 49.268782 74.775881
2025-12-14 6.535741 9.843829 14.688981 22.370336 34.371789 52.618753 82.867880
2025-12-21 5.946517 9.208419 14.126824 22.163862 35.128967 55.498795 90.461088
2025-12-28 5.673996 9.024645 14.220633 22.963722 37.512489 61.112800 103.018847
2026-01-04 5.379623 8.772644 14.174059 23.515742 39.520488 66.275967 115.333688
2026-01-11 5.162560 8.621810 14.268475 24.294900 41.961291 72.364321 129.867618
2026-01-18 4.718451 8.050088 13.612027 23.724459 41.998072 74.280966 137.080352
2026-01-25 4.357285 7.594318 13.121314 23.411790 42.485703 77.084756 146.330735
2026-02-01 4.040093 7.187712 12.679895 23.142982 43.019957 80.012397 156.125871
2026-02-08 3.747911 6.799745 12.236115 22.822638 43.413795 82.690674 165.686475
2026-02-15 3.464772 6.403967 11.743625 22.361364 43.482963 84.731395 174.148212
2026-02-22 3.398849 6.406562 11.985372 23.326843 46.433021 92.701028 195.768044
2026-03-01 3.259416 6.256853 11.925165 23.688979 48.196390 98.434937 213.247091
2026-03-08 3.082509 6.019650 11.675980 23.645804 49.113845 102.494283 227.486407
2026-03-15 2.900288 5.757350 11.356044 23.426966 49.635044 105.752099 240.264086
2026-03-22 2.845604 5.747295 11.538918 24.274754 52.526066 114.405896 266.474936
2026-03-29 2.766050 5.679527 11.597662 24.859902 54.890249 122.115709 291.335345
2026-04-05 2.713337 5.663340 11.761204 25.685884 57.870243 131.504874 321.372487